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Red187
5285127.1
606107.0
4913119.7
Blue221
7051129.0
665895.4
1515120.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982390100200400500187221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5285
#10
127.112.2
89.3101.4
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5
blue by 1.9
129.010.1
77.787.9
Auto15.1
Teleop100.6
End13.1
Second
4913
#29
119.710.5
94.5105.1
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End11.1
blue by 1.2
1515
#32
120.911.6
92.5104.1
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End18.8
Third
606
#49
107.013.0
72.585.4
Auto14.5
Teleop84.3
End9.5
red by 11.6
6658
#46
95.49.6
71.681.2
Auto12.8
Teleop76.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed