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Red292
1726144.0
3408106.5
4964100.3
Blue204
4913119.7
693898.5
3863129.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250250210230240260270290292204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.06.4
114.1120.6
Auto17.1
Teleop110.6
End16.2
red by 14.9
3863
#36
129.15.0
99.4104.3
Auto14.6
Teleop100.7
End13.7
Second
3408
#30
106.53.8
90.694.4
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End9.6
blue by 13.2
4913
#29
119.76.0
105.1111.0
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End11.1
Third
4964
#50
100.32.3
98.6101.0
Auto12.8
Teleop81.7
End10.5
red by 1.8
6938
#51
98.54.4
88.893.2
Auto13.1
Teleop80.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed