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Red235
848112.1
1452116.8
4763115.3
Blue282
696133.7
691592.7
5124148.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522990100200400500600235282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1452
#22
116.80.2
112.9113.1
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
blue by 32.0
148.88.4
118.1126.5
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
Second
4763
#41
115.34.9
99.1103.9
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
blue by 18.4
696
#25
133.74.1
115.8119.8
Auto15.2
Teleop107.1
End12.4
Third
848
#43
112.111.0
98.4109.5
Auto14.3
Teleop83.5
End10.8
red by 19.4
6915
#40
92.74.4
88.893.2
Auto12.3
Teleop82.6
End-2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed