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Red142
4019127.8
5510115.8
6833136.6
Blue336
5124148.8
980131.2
4972131.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403110100200400500142336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#15
136.67.1
108.9116.1
Auto13.5
Teleop100.0
End27.4
blue by 12.2
148.84.8
130.9135.7
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
Second
4019
#11
127.87.5
108.6116.1
Auto16.5
Teleop94.7
End21.3
blue by 3.7
4972
#12
131.66.4
106.9113.3
Auto12.7
Teleop102.1
End19.5
Third
5510
#47
115.82.4
107.4109.8
Auto13.9
Teleop84.9
End23.3
blue by 15.4
980
#18
131.26.9
111.6118.5
Auto13.2
Teleop100.5
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed