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Red210
4123108.8
7185112.8
1515120.9
Blue387
3512163.7
696133.7
5818153.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1693890100200300500600210387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#32
120.92.0
114.9116.9
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End18.8
blue by 42.8
163.78.9
138.1147.0
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
Second
7185
#45
112.84.5
100.9105.4
Auto14.6
Teleop88.2
End11.2
blue by 41.0
153.85.1
132.4137.5
Auto20.2
Teleop121.1
End10.9
Third
4123
#33
108.82.1
93.395.3
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
blue by 24.9
696
#25
133.71.5
121.4122.9
Auto15.2
Teleop107.1
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed