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Red240
4964100.3
691121.1
6833136.6
Blue172
4763115.3
6668112.7
7185112.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266261100150200300350400450240172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#15
136.64.7
116.1120.7
Auto13.5
Teleop100.0
End27.4
red by 21.3
4763
#41
115.33.7
110.3114.0
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
Second
691
#28
121.11.9
114.7116.6
Auto16.0
Teleop91.0
End15.8
red by 8.3
7185
#45
112.82.7
105.4108.1
Auto14.6
Teleop88.2
End11.2
Third
4964
#50
100.32.0
102.2100.2
Auto12.8
Teleop81.7
End10.5
blue by 12.4
6668
#26
112.72.3
106.3108.6
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed