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Red264
1452116.8
2710125.7
6668112.7
Blue343
4133.1
7042104.8
980131.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253285100150200350400450500264343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#14
125.72.6
115.6118.2
Auto15.1
Teleop102.6
End11.2
blue by 7.4
4
#44
133.13.6
119.6123.2
Auto14.8
Teleop102.1
End15.7
Second
1452
#22
116.80.3
114.1114.4
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
blue by 14.4
980
#18
131.21.6
124.6126.2
Auto13.2
Teleop100.5
End15.9
Third
6668
#26
112.71.0
108.6109.6
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
red by 7.9
7042
#23
104.80.1
104.6104.6
Auto12.8
Teleop87.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed