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Qual 62018 Los Angeles Regional
Red289
599132.3
3512163.7
1515120.9
Blue283
687152.8
4964100.3
4133.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102650100200400500289283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#2
163.713.7
96.0→109.7
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
red by 10.9
687
#3
152.816.5
70.4→86.8
Auto22.5
Teleop117.9
End12.8
Second
599
#21
132.314.6
87.5→102.1
Auto16.6
Teleop95.8
End19.9
blue by 0.8
4
#44
133.115.1
83.0→98.1
Auto14.8
Teleop102.1
End15.7
Third
1515
#32
120.915.8
76.7→92.5
Auto14.2
Teleop87.5
End18.8
red by 20.6
4964
#50
100.316.1
73.2→89.4
Auto12.8
Teleop81.7
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed