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Red170
7185112.8
510788.9
5089103.9
Blue329
2404100.8
5124148.8
6668112.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1883260100400500600170329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7185
#45
112.81.8
109.4111.2
Auto14.6
Teleop88.2
End11.2
blue by 36.0
148.81.3
142.7144.0
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
Second
5089
#38
103.90.7
104.6103.9
Auto12.8
Teleop81.5
End10.4
blue by 8.7
6668
#26
112.71.6
109.6111.2
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
Third
5107
#52
88.90.7
89.588.8
Auto12.1
Teleop71.8
End1.7
blue by 11.9
2404
#19
100.81.2
98.599.7
Auto15.8
Teleop74.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed