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Red338
5285127.1
5124148.8
86791.1
Blue213
4964100.3
4123108.8
599132.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302237100200400500338213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.81.3
144.0145.3
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
red by 16.5
599
#21
132.30.2
132.1132.3
Auto16.6
Teleop95.8
End19.9
Second
5285
#10
127.13.2
121.7124.9
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5
red by 18.3
4123
#33
108.83.6
105.2108.8
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
Third
867
#54
91.11.6
92.891.1
Auto13.1
Teleop73.0
End5.5
blue by 9.2
4964
#50
100.30.7
99.6100.3
Auto12.8
Teleop81.7
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed