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Red324
4141114.0
6668112.7
3512163.7
Blue265
5510115.8
4763115.3
702133.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306266100150200350400450500324265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.72.7
157.9160.5
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
red by 30.2
702
#31
133.61.4
132.2133.6
Auto15.8
Teleop99.2
End19.8
Second
4141
#24
114.00.2
114.2114.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End13.0
blue by 1.8
5510
#47
115.82.3
113.5115.8
Auto13.9
Teleop84.9
End23.3
Third
6668
#26
112.71.4
111.2112.7
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
blue by 2.7
4763
#41
115.30.0
115.3115.3
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed