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Red291
1640198.6
422166.2
5254176.4
Blue469
217226.0
4967169.4
3357227.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312443100200400500600700291469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#11
198.60.0
198.6198.6
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
blue by 28.8
227.40.2
227.2227.4
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
Second
5254
#45
176.40.3
176.7176.4
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
blue by 49.6
217
#2
226.00.2
225.9226.0
Auto22.3
Teleop179.2
End26.0
Third
422
#33
166.20.0
166.2166.2
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End17.7
blue by 3.1
4967
#22
169.40.2
169.1169.4
Auto25.4
Teleop117.4
End27.1