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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Carson Division
Red341
3990199.8
2502169.1
4253205.7
Blue512
71181.7
1640198.6
5254176.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379386300350400450500341512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13
205.70.6
207.4→206.8
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
red by 7.1
1640
#11
198.60.3
197.5→197.8
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
Second
3990
#35
199.80.0
200.0→200.0
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
red by 18.1
71
#6
181.70.2
181.2→181.4
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
Third
2502
#5
169.10.3
168.8→169.1
Auto22.7
Teleop115.2
End32.6
blue by 7.2
5254
#45
176.40.1
178.0→177.9
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6