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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Carson Division
Red399
217226.0
4967169.4
3357227.4
Blue380
1918208.4
2338172.1
862183.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4403260100200400500600399380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#4
227.40.1
226.5→226.6
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
red by 18.9
1918
#10
208.40.0
208.3→208.4
Auto20.1
Teleop152.1
End35.0
Second
217
#2
226.00.1
225.1→225.2
Auto22.3
Teleop179.2
End26.0
red by 42.2
862
#8
183.90.2
184.3→184.0
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
Third
4967
#22
169.40.2
168.0→168.2
Auto25.4
Teleop117.4
End27.1
blue by 2.7
2338
#66
172.10.4
173.0→172.5
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2