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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Carson Division
Red407
3940168.2
5050204.6
133212.7
Blue297
1885167.8
1731189.3
2771190.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437334100200400500600700800407297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#14
212.70.0
212.6→212.7
Auto23.7
Teleop155.7
End32.7
red by 22.5
2771
#38
190.10.1
190.2→190.1
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
Second
5050
#3
204.60.6
202.9→203.5
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
red by 15.3
1731
#7
189.30.1
189.4→189.3
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
Third
3940
#28
168.20.3
167.6→167.9
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
red by 0.4
1885
#34
167.80.4
167.3→167.8
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1