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Red246
2604109.8
5484142.3
2987167.4
Blue481
71181.7
2537166.9
1731189.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241456100200300400500600700246481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#51
167.40.1
167.3167.4
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
blue by 21.9
189.31.4
191.0189.6
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
Second
5484
#56
142.30.2
142.0142.2
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
blue by 39.4
71
#6
181.70.2
181.4181.2
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
Third
2604
#62
109.80.9
108.9109.8
Auto16.9
Teleop77.8
End16.5
blue by 57.1
2537
#47
166.90.2
166.8166.9
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsEarned