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Qual 1112018 Carson Division
Red377
1885167.8
3624154.5
88167.8
Blue359
1507187.5
2234113.5
5254176.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394321100200500600700377359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#23
167.80.6
167.2→167.8
Auto19.9
Teleop131.6
End17.1
blue by 19.6
1507
#17
187.50.0
187.5→187.5
Auto24.6
Teleop129.9
End33.5
Second
1885
#34
167.81.4
165.4→166.8
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
blue by 8.6
5254
#45
176.40.9
178.9→178.0
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
Third
3624
#49
154.51.6
152.9→154.5
Auto21.1
Teleop114.3
End21.1
red by 41.0
2234
#65
113.50.4
113.9→113.5
Auto16.2
Teleop82.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed