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Red474
4253205.7
1640198.6
5546181.2
Blue318
4130161.5
3990199.8
5484142.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4483060100200400500600700800474318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13
205.72.5
209.9207.4
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
red by 5.9
3990
#35
199.80.1
199.9200.0
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
Second
1640
#11
198.60.8
196.7197.5
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
red by 37.0
4130
#32
161.50.3
161.3161.5
Auto17.1
Teleop120.6
End24.9
Third
5546
#36
181.20.2
181.4181.2
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
red by 39.0
5484
#56
142.30.1
142.2142.3
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
72%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed