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Qual 122018 Carson Division
Red442
88167.8
25214.1
71181.7
Blue385
5505197.8
4253205.7
422166.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352386200250300450500550442385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#19
214.10.4
211.5→211.8
Auto24.0
Teleop170.1
End17.8
red by 8.4
4253
#13
205.70.4
221.1→220.6
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
Second
71
#6
181.71.0
174.9→175.9
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
blue by 16.1
5505
#15
197.80.2
201.1→201.3
Auto21.0
Teleop150.1
End26.8
Third
88
#23
167.80.1
160.2→160.3
Auto19.9
Teleop131.6
End17.1
red by 1.6
422
#33
166.21.3
163.1→164.4
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned23%Face the Boss oddsMissed