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Red229
2234113.5
6880157.9
2225134.8
Blue415
3940168.2
2987167.4
3015186.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2554300100200300400500600229415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6880
#53
157.90.9
151.5152.4
Auto18.0
Teleop122.4
End16.3
blue by 28.1
3015
#20
186.01.2
181.1182.2
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
Second
2225
#50
134.81.2
128.2129.4
Auto15.3
Teleop105.6
End11.1
blue by 33.4
3940
#28
168.20.3
165.9165.6
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
Third
2234
#65
113.50.2
118.8118.6
Auto16.2
Teleop82.1
End15.0
blue by 53.9
2987
#51
167.40.2
163.3163.5
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed