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Red395
4230153.3
3357227.4
2537166.9
Blue361
2137165.2
4476192.2
5546181.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3753360100200300500600700395361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
227.41.0
226.2225.2
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
red by 35.1
4476
#30
192.20.9
191.8190.9
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
2537
#47
166.90.5
168.0167.5
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
blue by 14.3
5546
#36
181.21.0
182.7181.6
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
Third
4230
#48
153.30.3
152.4152.7
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
blue by 11.9
2137
#24
165.20.6
162.0162.6
Auto21.1
Teleop125.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed