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Red446
3357227.4
217226.0
3604164.1
Blue273
1918208.4
3940168.2
422166.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4303100100200500600700446273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
227.40.6
225.2224.7
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
red by 18.9
1918
#10
208.40.5
213.7213.2
Auto20.1
Teleop152.1
End35.0
Second
217
#2
226.00.0
223.2223.2
Auto22.3
Teleop179.2
End26.0
red by 57.9
3940
#28
168.20.1
165.5165.6
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
Third
3604
#60
164.12.0
174.3172.3
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
blue by 2.1
422
#33
166.20.3
165.7166.0
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsEarned43%Face the Boss oddsMissed