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Qual 582018 Carson Division
Red397
2771190.1
191151.2
6334159.4
Blue312
1885167.8
2987167.4
4476192.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303870100200500600700397312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#38
190.10.9
194.6→193.7
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
blue by 2.1
4476
#30
192.20.0
190.4→190.4
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
6334
#40DQ
159.40.5
160.9→160.3
Auto24.6
Teleop112.8
End20.9
blue by 8.3
1885
#34
167.80.2
165.7→165.5
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
Third
191
#52
151.20.1
148.9→149.0
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
blue by 16.2
2987
#51
167.41.0
164.7→165.8
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
46%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed