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Red326
335998.7
4253205.7
1918208.4
Blue253
4145176.8
2338172.1
272148.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4073300100200500600700326253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#10
208.41.4
213.2211.8
Auto20.1
Teleop152.1
End35.0
red by 31.7
4145
#58
176.80.8
180.7180.0
Auto21.5
Teleop134.0
End20.0
Second
4253
#13
205.70.7
218.1217.4
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
red by 33.6
2338
#66
172.10.3
176.6176.9
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
Third
3359
#68
98.71.4
101.9100.6
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
blue by 50.2
272
#64
148.91.3
154.9153.6
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss oddsEarned61%Face the Boss oddsMissed