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Red291
5254176.4
5846148.6
3044146.5
Blue359
2987167.4
5123113.6
422166.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3493370200400600800291359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#45
176.40.3
179.7180.0
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
red by 9.0
2987
#51
167.40.5
165.8166.2
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Second
5846
#16
148.60.3
147.2147.5
Auto20.6
Teleop110.1
End17.7
blue by 17.7
422
#33
166.20.0
165.3165.2
Auto21.0
Teleop128.3
End17.7
Third
3044
#61
146.50.2
147.5147.2
Auto21.5
Teleop111.2
End12.4
red by 32.9
5123
#46
113.60.3
114.0114.4
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed