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Red447
191151.2
3940168.2
1100175.3
Blue289
1731189.3
190147.4
4253205.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282451100200400500600700800447289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#27
175.30.9
169.5170.3
Auto22.7
Teleop129.1
End27.4
blue by 30.3
4253
#13
205.70.8
217.4216.6
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
Second
3940
#28
168.20.6
164.8164.2
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
blue by 21.1
189.30.1
193.0193.2
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
Third
191
#52
151.20.1
149.0148.9
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
red by 3.8
190
#44
147.42.0
143.3145.3
Auto18.8
Teleop112.9
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned46%Face the Boss oddsEarned