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Red439
4145176.8
2137165.2
191151.2
Blue305
3276187.9
2586145.2
4967169.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382352100200300500600700439305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#58
176.81.0
178.6177.6
Auto21.5
Teleop134.0
End20.0
blue by 11.2
3276
#21
187.90.8
186.4187.2
Auto24.0
Teleop132.2
End33.1
Second
2137
#24
165.20.5
163.5163.9
Auto21.1
Teleop125.3
End20.3
blue by 4.1
4967
#22
169.40.4
166.7167.0
Auto25.4
Teleop117.4
End27.1
Third
191
#52
151.21.1
148.9150.0
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
red by 6.0
2586
#59
145.20.4
144.3144.7
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed48%Face the Boss oddsEarned