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Red353
3604164.1
6806132.0
3990199.8
Blue391
2234113.5
4476192.2
5846148.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872970100200500600700353391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#35
199.80.4
199.1199.6
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
red by 7.5
4476
#30
192.20.1
190.0189.9
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
3604
#60
164.12.1
169.6167.5
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
red by 15.6
5846
#16
148.60.4
147.4147.7
Auto20.6
Teleop110.1
End17.7
Third
6806
#63
132.00.8
133.6132.8
Auto19.4
Teleop98.0
End15.8
red by 18.4
2234
#65
113.50.9
115.1114.2
Auto16.2
Teleop82.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed