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Red368
2910218.7
1769112.0
5458139.6
Blue396
1369138.2
6800163.2
1421173.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318336150200250300400450500368396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.71.0
214.4215.3
Auto21.5
Teleop168.2
End30.7
red by 45.7
1421
#34
173.00.3
172.9172.5
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
Second
5458
#43
139.62.0
137.6139.6
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
blue by 23.6
6800
#31
163.20.3
162.4162.6
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9
Third
1769
#64
112.00.8
112.8112.0
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
blue by 26.2
1369
#49
138.20.5
137.4137.9
Auto17.9
Teleop107.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed