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Red271
6838103.9
3991141.9
5458139.6
Blue370
3834117.4
1378114.7
343148.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271267200250300350400271370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#53
141.90.9
140.0140.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End9.2
blue by 6.4
343
#16
148.31.3
147.6146.3
Auto21.2
Teleop119.9
End8.5
Second
5458
#43
139.60.6
127.9128.5
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
red by 22.2
3834
#57
117.41.6
113.8115.4
Auto16.1
Teleop86.8
End11.7
Third
6838
#56
103.90.2
96.596.7
Auto16.1
Teleop80.7
End6.0
blue by 10.8
1378
#58
114.70.1
105.2105.3
Auto14.0
Teleop92.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed