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Red392
16206.0
4499158.3
4944171.4
Blue142
5499145.5
1369138.2
801141.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882910100200500600700800392142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#3
206.00.8
201.5200.8
Auto25.6
Teleop149.0
End29.3
red by 60.6
5499
#50
145.50.4
160.5160.0
Auto21.4
Teleop111.1
End13.7
Second
171.40.8
169.7168.9
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4
red by 29.5
801
#37
141.90.7
140.3141.1
Auto19.3
Teleop101.1
End20.2
Third
4499
#15
158.30.0
154.3154.3
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
red by 20.0
1369
#49
138.20.3
132.9133.1
Auto17.9
Teleop107.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed