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Red332
5006158.5
1421173.0
4944171.4
Blue384
175185.5
3991141.9
3229135.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367297100200500600700800332384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#34
173.02.4
168.5170.9
Auto18.7
Teleop124.5
End30.0
blue by 12.5
175
#23
185.50.2
184.3184.4
Auto21.9
Teleop133.1
End31.3
Second
171.40.8
170.5169.7
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4
red by 29.5
3991
#53
141.90.4
139.6140.0
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End9.2
Third
5006
#46
158.50.2
154.1154.3
Auto19.1
Teleop109.6
End27.7
red by 23.0
3229
#21
135.40.2
135.5135.3
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End27.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed