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Red396
3991141.9
7301110.3
1622185.5
Blue133
1414180.6
2429113.5
1769112.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370281100200500600700800396133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#28
185.50.7
184.8185.5
Auto19.2
Teleop139.3
End25.6
red by 5.0
180.60.2
176.5176.7
Auto23.7
Teleop134.7
End24.6
Second
3991
#53
141.90.8
141.9142.7
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End9.2
red by 28.4
2429
#61
113.50.8
119.4118.6
Auto18.0
Teleop80.8
End13.1
Third
7301
#60
110.30.3
109.3108.9
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.3
blue by 1.7
1769
#64
112.00.3
121.1121.3
Auto17.0
Teleop86.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed