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Red149
4013125.1
5829116.5
7123123.2
Blue431
6838103.9
1690197.5
5006158.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243710100300500600700149431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#68
125.10.3
126.0126.3
Auto17.8
Teleop91.3
End17.6
blue by 72.4
197.51.3
180.1181.4
Auto22.5
Teleop153.7
End23.8
Second
7123
#36
123.21.5
117.7119.2
Auto13.7
Teleop94.6
End18.1
blue by 35.3
5006
#46
158.50.8
154.4155.2
Auto19.1
Teleop109.6
End27.7
Third
5829
#59
116.50.1
117.8117.9
Auto16.1
Teleop89.4
End12.4
red by 12.6
6838
#56
103.90.8
97.698.4
Auto16.1
Teleop80.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned