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Red376
5805161.8
2811187.8
6988136.0
Blue411
1410155.3
1690197.5
341182.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316404100200500600700376411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#63
187.80.9
191.2190.3
Auto22.1
Teleop145.1
End17.8
blue by 9.7
197.52.1
181.4183.5
Auto22.5
Teleop153.7
End23.8
Second
5805
#33
161.80.6
161.5162.1
Auto18.5
Teleop116.3
End28.7
blue by 21.0
341
#8
182.71.3
170.7172.0
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
Third
6988
#19
136.01.5
126.5128.0
Auto17.3
Teleop102.9
End19.8
blue by 19.3
1410
#24
155.30.4
150.3150.7
Auto18.8
Teleop114.8
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsEarned