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Red157
5006158.5
6902115.2
1378114.7
Blue481
4499158.3
2910218.7
6846108.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513800100200300500600157481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#46
158.51.6
155.2156.8
Auto19.1
Teleop109.6
End27.7
blue by 60.2
218.70.2
211.9211.7
Auto21.5
Teleop168.2
End30.7
Second
6902
#67
115.20.6
124.6124.0
Auto16.6
Teleop82.1
End14.7
blue by 43.1
4499
#15
158.30.1
155.2155.1
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
Third
1378
#58
114.71.0
107.7108.6
Auto14.0
Teleop92.0
End11.7
red by 6.1
6846
#48
108.70.4
104.2104.5
Auto18.8
Teleop80.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed