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Red206
4171126.8
343148.3
7111118.5
Blue313
3238142.6
4944171.4
683299.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300302200250350400206313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#16
148.30.0
146.1146.1
Auto21.2
Teleop119.9
End8.5
blue by 23.0
171.40.1
167.8168.0
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4
Second
4171
#55
126.80.1
126.2126.4
Auto16.8
Teleop96.3
End14.3
blue by 15.8
3238
#30
142.60.7
143.6142.9
Auto22.2
Teleop104.7
End15.6
Third
7111
#26
118.51.0
115.4116.3
Auto18.6
Teleop88.8
End12.6
red by 19.3
6832
#42
99.30.3
97.497.7
Auto16.1
Teleop78.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed