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Red306
2415146.0
4306143.8
5006158.5
Blue447
801141.9
6502181.7
580149.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310383200500600306447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#46
158.50.6
157.5158.2
Auto19.1
Teleop109.6
End27.7
blue by 23.2
6502
#11
181.70.7
177.3178.0
Auto22.6
Teleop141.5
End16.7
Second
2415
#39
146.00.5
142.3142.8
Auto21.7
Teleop112.4
End13.1
blue by 3.2
580
#17
149.21.9
141.8143.8
Auto17.7
Teleop104.2
End29.6
Third
4306
#65
143.80.5
144.5144.0
Auto16.0
Teleop107.8
End20.6
red by 1.9
801
#37
141.90.7
140.4141.1
Auto19.3
Teleop101.1
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned