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Red291
342170.2
341182.7
4501105.8
Blue298
4944171.4
6838103.9
5803188.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340344250300400450291298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#8
182.71.6
174.6176.2
Auto22.2
Teleop132.5
End29.9
blue by 6.0
5803
#27
188.70.3
189.9189.7
Auto22.6
Teleop132.0
End35.1
Second
342
#14
170.21.2
165.8167.0
Auto20.0
Teleop132.4
End18.1
blue by 1.2
171.40.3
168.0168.3
Auto24.1
Teleop129.9
End19.4
Third
4501
#35
105.81.2
103.4104.6
Auto16.5
Teleop78.0
End13.4
red by 1.9
6838
#56
103.90.6
103.1103.7
Auto16.1
Teleop80.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed