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Red286
7301110.3
2811187.8
6800163.2
Blue291
4171126.8
4501105.8
4265172.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632870100200400500600700286291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#63
187.80.2
188.6188.4
Auto22.1
Teleop145.1
End17.8
red by 15.9
4265
#10
172.01.8
167.3169.1
Auto20.3
Teleop131.0
End24.1
Second
6800
#31
163.20.9
161.2162.1
Auto22.2
Teleop129.8
End10.9
red by 36.4
4171
#55
126.80.3
126.3126.6
Auto16.8
Teleop96.3
End14.3
Third
7301
#60
110.30.0
110.7110.7
Auto17.5
Teleop79.8
End12.3
red by 4.4
4501
#35
105.80.7
104.6105.3
Auto16.5
Teleop78.0
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed