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Qual 982018 Carver Division
Red298
5458139.6
3229135.4
7111118.5
Blue458
2928151.4
1414180.6
4499158.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270414100200300500600298458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#43
139.61.7
134.1→135.8
Auto19.1
Teleop100.5
End23.6
blue by 41.0
1414
#5
180.61.6
176.8→178.4
Auto23.7
Teleop134.7
End24.6
Second
3229
#21
135.40.4
134.4→134.7
Auto17.1
Teleop94.6
End27.2
blue by 22.8
4499
#15
158.30.2
155.4→155.6
Auto26.5
Teleop119.5
End13.3
Third
7111
#26
118.50.7
116.9→117.6
Auto18.6
Teleop88.8
End12.6
blue by 32.8
2928
#22
151.40.7
149.6→150.3
Auto20.8
Teleop107.5
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned16%Face the Boss oddsMissed