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Red209
5474103.7
6885105.0
3749136.1
Blue216
1972120.3
1266119.4
638296.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262241100200300400500209216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.115.3
73.588.8
Auto17.3
Teleop103.3
End17.6
red by 15.8
1972
#27
120.37.0
83.690.6
Auto14.9
Teleop88.3
End19.9
Second
6885
#48
105.012.7
77.790.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.1
End6.8
blue by 14.4
1266
#59
119.46.1
100.4106.5
Auto13.3
Teleop95.1
End7.5
Third
5474
#61
103.711.1
74.185.2
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End7.1
red by 7.5
6382
#44
96.214.6
64.879.4
Auto13.4
Teleop77.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed