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Red288
3647154.3
1661102.6
6659111.3
Blue129
5477102.9
6885105.0
4270119.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280247100150200300350400450288129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#11
154.310.9
110.2121.1
Auto15.8
Teleop116.8
End24.9
red by 34.8
4270
#46
119.45.7
104.1109.9
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End18.0
Second
6659
#22
111.36.1
88.094.1
Auto14.3
Teleop89.1
End9.6
red by 6.3
6885
#48
105.08.6
90.499.1
Auto15.3
Teleop83.1
End6.8
Third
1661
#50
102.60.2
109.2109.1
Auto15.2
Teleop83.8
End5.3
blue by 0.4
5477
#47
102.95.1
91.997.0
Auto16.0
Teleop79.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed