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Qual 42018 San Diego Regional presented by Qualcomm
Red206
3965124.6
5199118.3
4014119.1
Blue253
1280127.5
2984132.7
3128149.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285278150200250300350400206253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#28
124.615.8
76.2→92.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.9
End15.6
blue by 25.1
3128
#6
149.714.9
84.9→99.7
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Second
4014
#38
119.116.9
66.9→83.7
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End12.8
blue by 13.6
2984
#13
132.717.5
60.8→78.3
Auto18.4
Teleop102.6
End13.5
Third
5199
#52
118.314.4
89.0→103.4
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End15.8
blue by 9.2
1280
#31
127.515.2
81.7→96.9
Auto18.0
Teleop95.5
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed