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Red420
3128149.7
1972120.3
1572153.9
Blue109
638296.2
458399.0
5012135.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327249100200300400500420109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.93.7
128.8132.5
Auto19.7
Teleop116.4
End21.2
red by 18.0
5012
#20
135.93.0
136.7139.7
Auto16.6
Teleop103.6
End14.1
Second
149.75.1
122.7127.9
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
red by 50.6
4583
#66
99.01.8
100.8102.6
Auto14.0
Teleop76.2
End4.8
Third
1972
#27
120.32.2
112.7114.9
Auto14.9
Teleop88.3
End19.9
red by 24.1
6382
#44
96.21.5
98.9100.4
Auto13.4
Teleop77.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed