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Red330
2658137.7
6659111.3
3256140.4
Blue226
3882148.4
502596.9
4616101.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402060100300400500600330226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#21
140.43.2
126.2129.5
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
blue by 7.9
3882
#45
148.45.7
129.3135.0
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Second
137.74.7
125.1129.9
Auto18.3
Teleop105.4
End12.6
red by 36.3
4616
#35
101.41.7
99.998.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.6
End5.7
Third
6659
#22
111.33.1
101.0104.1
Auto14.3
Teleop89.1
End9.6
red by 14.4
5025
#57
96.92.2
99.597.2
Auto15.5
Teleop77.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed