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Red347
3256140.4
1622148.5
3128149.7
Blue299
724989.2
2839153.5
3647154.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367280100200400500347299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.76.6
127.9134.4
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
blue by 4.6
3647
#11
154.33.4
144.7148.0
Auto15.8
Teleop116.8
End24.9
Second
1622
#24
148.56.4
135.4141.8
Auto16.2
Teleop107.6
End28.4
blue by 5.0
153.59.1
133.4142.5
Auto21.2
Teleop102.0
End36.5
Third
3256
#21
140.43.6
129.5133.1
Auto19.4
Teleop108.9
End12.7
red by 51.2
7249
#64
89.20.9
88.988.1
Auto12.9
Teleop70.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsEarned