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Red345
4201142.1
6695128.0
4711120.4
Blue260
3965124.6
3882148.4
6995106.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282790100200400500600700345260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
142.11.4
139.8141.3
Auto17.5
Teleop112.4
End11.0
blue by 6.2
3882
#45
148.45.1
135.0140.1
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
Second
6695
#23
128.02.1
123.8125.9
Auto20.6
Teleop97.2
End9.4
red by 3.4
3965
#28
124.63.2
119.8123.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.9
End15.6
Third
4711
#56
120.40.2
119.3119.5
Auto18.6
Teleop93.2
End11.9
red by 13.8
6995
#39
106.65.1
98.6103.8
Auto14.2
Teleop82.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed