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Red295
6920104.8
4160124.5
5137128.6
Blue299
5209120.7
1661102.6
812109.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192230100400500600295299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#51
128.61.7
128.1129.7
Auto15.5
Teleop90.4
End25.7
red by 8.0
5209
#53
120.71.6
118.0119.6
Auto17.4
Teleop87.1
End14.0
Second
4160
#32
124.51.0
128.4127.4
Auto13.1
Teleop100.9
End7.3
red by 15.5
812
#62
109.00.2
108.6108.8
Auto16.2
Teleop90.1
End-0.8
Third
6920
#43
104.80.2
107.3107.1
Auto13.7
Teleop84.6
End4.8
red by 2.2
1661
#50
102.61.8
105.5103.7
Auto15.2
Teleop83.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed