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Red266
5477102.9
4139104.5
3882148.4
Blue455
4919102.9
3128149.7
3255164.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2283740100200300500600266455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#45
148.42.8
140.1142.9
Auto18.7
Teleop108.0
End22.1
blue by 16.3
164.73.4
156.4159.9
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End26.2
Second
4139
#42
104.53.0
101.5104.5
Auto14.1
Teleop77.6
End16.2
blue by 45.2
149.75.2
134.4139.6
Auto18.8
Teleop110.8
End22.7
Third
5477
#47
102.90.4
103.3102.9
Auto16.0
Teleop79.5
End7.1
red by 0.1
4919
#33
102.93.5
99.4102.9
Auto15.3
Teleop86.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed